Thursday, May 15, 2008

Puzzling

In his recent column, Thomas Friedman predicts a cold war--with Iran. Given his contemptible endorsement of the war with Iraq, we can only surmise that the belligerent Friedman will endorse and thereby motivate 'transformation' in Iran as well.

The Wall Street Journal recently offered its list of the most influential people in business. Friedman was in the top 5. Prospect Magazine lists its top 100 public intellectuals. Friedman is 16.

I simply can't understand this. Excepting his ability to coin a catchy slogan, what explains his power over minds?

Someone please help me.

1 Comment:

Graham Parsons said...

Friedman loves the catch phrase! I recall my annoyance at a column he wrote a while back proclaiming the start of Post-Post-Cold War Era. Apparently, that phrase didn't stick and now he speaks of a new Cold War altogether. I can't understand his popularity either.

On the content of the piece on Iran, he seems to make two basic mistakes, each of which over-inflate the power of Iran. First, he implies that the movements supported by Iran (i.e. Hezbollah and Hamas) are directed or at least heavily influenced by Iran. This is a mistake. Hamas and Hezbollah are local organizations, deeply intertwined in the communities in which they operate. They rely on local support and have developed sophisticated local infrastructures that they use to provide all sorts of social services. They are much more than military tools of Iran.

Second, by his association of the conflict with Iran with the Cold War with the USSR, he exaggerates the military capabilities of Iran. Iran is no Soviet Union. There is no doubt that the US alone could easily defeat the Iranian military in a conventional conflict.

Iran is not the threat that Friedman and so many others make it out to be. The obsession with the power of Iran has less to do with Iran's military strength vis-a-vis the US, than it does with Iran's ability to frustrate US desires to dominate the Persian Gulf and the protection of the security interests of Israel.

If you're looking for a new Cold War, look to the increasingly tense relations between the US and Russia. This is the conflict that has a chance of becoming massive confrontation.

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